Cranston, Rhode Island 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

236
FXUS61 KBOX 070129
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
929 PM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this
afternoon and evening, especially north of the Connecticut and
Rhode Island borders. A few of these storms may become severe or
also result in localized flash flooding. Some showers and
perhaps a few isolated thunderstorms linger into Saturday with
lower temperatures making a return and continuing into early
next week. Dry conditions expected for most of Sunday. Another
period of unsettled conditions arrives Sunday night into Monday,
and likely continues into Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...

Key Messages...

* Just a few lingering showers overnight, but no additional
  severe weather/flooding is expected

* Areas of fog overnight especially near the south coast with
  low temps in the 60 to 65 degree range

Details...

The main shortwave that brought today/s active weather to the
northern and western portions of our county warning area has
departed. That coupled with the loss of daytime heating...just a
few lingering showers are expected overnight and the threat for
severe weather/localized flash flooding has ended.
Therefore...the Flood Watch has been canceled for portions of
western/central and interior northeast MA.

We do expect areas fog to develop overnight with a lot of
lingering low level moisture and light southerly flow. The fog
will be most pronounced towards the south coast. Lows generally
between 60 and 65.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Key Messages...

* Additional showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected
  Saturday, but not severe weather

Our region will still need to contend with an approaching cold
front and the coastal low pressure. A continued risk for showers
and perhaps a few thunderstorms, especially from late morning
into the afternoon hours. Drying our Saturday night behind this
cold front. Near to slightly above normal temperatures continue.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Key Messages:

* Dry most of Sunday

* Another period of unsettled weather is possible Sunday night
  into early Wednesday, especially Tuesday into Tuesday Night.

* Drier weather more likely for a time late next week ahead of
  an approaching front Friday.

High pressure over eastern Canada should lead to a period drier
weather Sunday. This high pressure does not stick around long,
permitting a warm front and low pressure to approach Sunday
night into Monday. There should be at least a modest risk for
showers until a cold front followed by a larger high pressure
over the lower Ohio River really dries things out across
southern New England later next week.

More typical summer temperatures and not overly humid for this
portion of the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight...Moderate confidence.

The bulk of the TSRA have largely come to an end. SHRA will take
a little longer to wind down overnight. However, enough low
moisture is present to allow cigs/vsbys to drop into the MVFR-
IFR categories tonight across much of the region. Light S winds.

Saturday...Moderate confidence.

The cold front will approach the region from the west. This
will bring another round of SHRA and isolated TSRA to the
region. MVFR conditions will dominate, but some improvement to
VFR levels may occur later in the day across the interior. Light
SW winds will begin to shift to the NW behind the cold front by
late in the day.

Saturday Night...Moderate confidence.

Improvement to VFR from west to east.

BOS TAF...Moderate confidence in TAF. Greatest risk for TSRA to
the west of the terminal. TSRA should diminish around and after
sunset towards 07/00Z.

BDL TAF...Moderate confidence in TAF. The main risk for showers
and thunderstorms in the vicinity of the terminal will be in
through 07/00z.

Outlook /Sunday through Wednesday/...

Sunday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance
SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Monday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Breezy. Chance
SHRA.

Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA.

Tuesday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA, slight
chance TSRA.

Tuesday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. SHRA
likely.

Wednesday: Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Through Saturday Night...High confidence.

The gradient will remain weak enough to keep winds/seas below Small
Craft Advisory thresholds into Saturday. There is a risk for
some rough seas across the outer coastal waters late Saturday
into Saturday night, but did not have enough confidence to issue
an advisory just yet.

Areas of fog developing tonight, so visibility may be reduced ti
1 NM or less, especially across the southern waters.

A wave of low pressure will track near the Benchmark Saturday,
while a cold front approaches the waters from the west. Some
showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm may accompany this
front.

Outlook /Sunday through Wednesday/...

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.
Slight chance of rain showers.

Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft. Chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain showers.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft.

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.
Chance of rain showers.

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft. Rain showers likely.

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of
rain showers.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Belk
NEAR TERM...Frank
SHORT TERM...Belk
LONG TERM...Belk
AVIATION...Belk
MARINE...Belk